on college football

Smart and smartass thoughts on college football. Nuanced analysis when appropriate, humor when it is not.

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Erin Andrews photo collection

Posted by Vince Mullins on July 21, 2008

Erin Andrews, courtesy ESPN and Chicago Tribune

Erin Andrews, courtesy ESPN and Chicago Tribune

So I am flipping thru Newsday.com, innocently looking for information on a friend’s Little League All-Star team.

Lo and behold I stumble across this link…

http://www.newsday.com/sports/sfl-erinandrews-pg,0,118514.photogallery

Erin looks particularly stunning under the lights at last years Miami vs. Texas A&M game, but a couple of studio shots really highlight her work.

And by work I mean gorgeous hair and eyes. Yeah, Hair and eyes.

BONUS MATERIAL: Melissa Stark and Lisa Guerrero stills from the archives…

You know, I need to go check the kid’s box scores….

Posted in Off Topic, college football | No Comments »

Hacking Phil Steele: TO Margin + SOS

Posted by Vince Mullins on June 22, 2008

Phil Steele (right, supporting the Bulldogs) is the dean (dare I say czar) of college football insight and I have anxiously awaited his new yearbooks for years. As I have had time to digest the byzantine complexity and voluminous information contained in his 2008 College Football Preview, I now have a couple tricks up my sleeve on how to unleash some additional value from all his statistical work.

(You might think I have been on vacation, but I have spent the last two months redesigning Fantasy College Blitz and its accompanying forum at Ning. NEVER could have been done with out the help of Derrick Eckhardt and Randy Burgess - much love out to them. Now back to the games…)

First study on my mind was to combine his contrarian turnover margin work (teams better than +10 turnover margin do worse the next year 65% of the time, with teams worse than -10 do better 68% of the time) with his projected strength of schedule (SOS)- a few teams are blessed with the best (or worst) of both worlds.

By adding up the national rank for TO margin (big number good for a turnaround) and the SOS (big number good) you can see where every team stands.

STOCK UP!

Army and Kent State get knighted on both shoulders - the Black Knights were -10 TO margin last year and get the 116th hardest (5th easiest) schedule, while the Golden Flashes can call UNO! by coughing up -11 in 2007 and facing the 111th schedule (10th easiest). Rumors state that Army returns to the wishbone which will cause all kinds of nightmares for opponents, and Kent gets a healthy QB Julian Edelman back at full-strength with the nation’s leading returning rusher Eugene Jarvis.

But what about STOCK DOWN?

Again, two teams will swim against a riptide in LSU and Cincinnati as the reside on the wrnog side of both calculations. The Tigers and Coach Mad Hatter grabbed the National Title by grabbing 20 more turnovers more than their opponents and face the 19th hardest schedule, while the great Bearcat story of 2007 looks to hit a roadblock as they were +16 and now get a vicious non-conference schedule setting them up for a fall.

Some other teams were very close to getting the double on the good way (stock outperform?) New Mexico State and North Texas have SOS in the 90s, and the team we should all root for, Northern Illinois, fits the bill the same way as the campus tries to unite after the Valentine’s Day shooting tragedy.

Check out the whole study on my Google Spreadsheet (I can NEVER get the damn iframe to embed!)

Posted in college football | Tagged: , , | No Comments »

Odds to win 2009 BCS Championship Game

Posted by Vince Mullins on May 4, 2008

Courtesy of Sportsbook.com, here are the favorite for the college football national title for the 2008-2009 season. Missouri and Kansas seem like strong early values, plus my love for Texas Tech in 2008 should be no surprise and they are 100-1!

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in BCS, college football | Tagged: | 1 Comment »

BCS Plus One, see you in 2010

Posted by Vince Mullins on April 28, 2008

Daryl TalleyUSA today reports on the upcoming college football conference commissioner meeting in Miami this week. It highlights the once-fractured landscape of the game evolving into a BCS coalition that is marketing the game on a national level.

Has the playoff noise settled down yet, or will it crescendo as summer turns to fall ad Buckeye fans await a third straight loss in the championship game (Jim Kelly and Daryl Talley are very proud of Ohio State’s accomplishments)? Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in BCS, OCF Original, college football | Tagged: , | No Comments »

NFL Draft preview with Brady Ackerman

Posted by Vince Mullins on April 20, 2008

Brady Ackerman is a Florida football institution - the former Gator RB has progressed through coaching to host talk radio around the state while settling in Orlando the last few years.

While he calls it a sports talk radio show, the diehard listeners to ESPN 1080 in Orlando Florida revel in a “football talk radio show” that talks pro, college and even Florida prep ball.

Ack sat down with me via email and brought his point of view to the Sunshine State pro teams and the rest of the talent in general.

Vince Mullins: Starting with your Florida focus, let us dig in to the Dolphins first - who is their first pick? Since they need so much help and should trade down, what teams may work a deal?

Ack: I think the Dolphins take Chris Long (right, Icon SMI) from Virginia. He will be a flex-type defensive end that can play in a 3-4 system…

(continued at Fantasy College Blitz)

Posted in My Other sites, NFL Draft, OCF Original, college football | Tagged: , , , | No Comments »

2008 Chucky Mullins Courage Award

Posted by Vince Mullins on April 13, 2008

Safety Jamarca Sanford at the University of Mississippi is the latest recipient of the Chucky Mullins Courage Award.

Each season an Ole Miss Defensive Player earns this honor for roles not only with the team but also with the community. The ceremony impacted new Head Coach Houston Nutt

“Our players are very excited that Jamarca received the award,” said new head football coach Houston Nutt. “Heart, attitude and toughness best describes why Jamarca is so deserving of this award. He’s a giver. From everything I heard tonight during the documentary about Chucky, I don’t think we could have picked a better person. The baton has been passed to Jamarca, and it’s an awesome honor and responsibility.”

The award, sponsored by Phi Beta Sigma fraternity, honors the late Chucky Mullins, who had his Ole Miss career come to an end during the 1989 Homecoming game against Vanderbilt when he was paralyzed after making a tackle. After returning to his studies at Ole Miss, Mullins passed away on May 6, 1991.

Thanks to Scout.com for the article.

Posted in college football | No Comments »

NFL Draft: Best and worst NFL offenses in 2008

Posted by Vince Mullins on April 2, 2008

niners.jpgIn preparing our NFL Draft coverage at Fantasy College Blitz I again looked at the current depth charts in the NFL for weaknesses and then to the stats to see what NFL teams needed immediate help moving the ball.

I knew that the San Francisco 49ers stunk (right, in own end zone, Icon SMI) up the joint last year, but this bad?

  • 32nd in yards per play (4.36, tops was New England Patriots at 6.35),
  • last in red zone possessions (only 29 - Jacksonville Jaguars had double and came in 3rd), and
  • last with only 5.3 yards per passing attempt (get JAMES HARDY!!!!)

I thought I would share the spartan Google Spreadsheet with everyone - here is the link.

Posted in NFL Draft, college football | Tagged: , , , | No Comments »

Adarius Bowman: Q and A with PFW

Posted by Vince Mullins on April 1, 2008

bowman3.jpg

Pro Football Weekly interviewed Oklahoma State WR Adarius Bowman about his professional expectations - and they don’t seem to include bulking up to play tight end…

My favorite excerpt (I am a sucker for anyone displaying passion about their craft…):

PFW: What is the thing you’re most looking forward to heading into the draft?

Bowman: … You see these guys on TV growing up and to actually be out there playing with them, that’s gonna be a trip. I can’t wait to see what that’s gonna be like. It’s kind of hard to sit here and talk about all this stuff. You’ve got all these feelings and all these emotions and you want to just sit back and wait for it to be done but at the same time you can’t wait for it to get here. It’s hard not to be excited.

Posted in NFL Draft, college football | Tagged: , , | No Comments »