Archive for the ‘Preview’ Category

Part two of my BCS National Championship Game preview gets to the heart of the matter: what are Oregon and Auburn are likely to do to each other in the perfect conditions of Cardinal Stadium in Glendale, AZ?

DuckyLearn to Ducky – wings of steel will be needed in the 2011 BCS National Championship (Bleacher Report)

If I had to rank my “spread offense gurus”, the Top 5 in no particular order would be Mike Leach, Dana Holgerson, Tony Franklin, Chip Kelly and Gus Malzahn. I think that is what makes this game such a treat (and also why the inability of Leach to get another head coaching gig astounds me) – we are truly witnessing the pinnacle of offensive football operations. Should be a great show for college football freaks and casual fans alike.

Matchups, links, deconstruction of Vegas sentiment and my pick for Ducky to get his push-ups on more than Mike the Tiger after the jump. (more…)

Kenny Britt of RutgersThe Head2Head College Salary Cap Game is nearing its end, and our Forum’s own resident H2H analyst Topher Dean breaks down his Efficiency Rating’s top ten through week 10 of the H2H season:

10) Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers (6.5M, 70.25 efficiency rating)

The Big East’s top receiver finally nudges into the top ten after several weeks of consistent play. Britt (right, Rivals.com) hauled in 9 passes for 107 yards and a score against Syracuse this past Saturday earning him 25 H2H points. The junior is averaging over 20 points per game and has a salary below 7.0M, which should warrant an immediate plug into the lineup. The trouble is he’s the fourth receiver on this list this week so someone has to be the odd man out unless you’re flexing. Britt faces the conference’s top defense in South Florida this week which should test his staying power on this list.

9) Jordan Shipley, WR, Texas (6.9M, 76.36 efficiency rating)

I asked for 30 and he gave me 20. Not bad, but with what appears to be a now healthy Quan Cosby, Shipley’s numbers could take a hit. Don’t get off this wagon yet because he remains Colt McCoy’s most reliable target. This week Kansas and the Big 12’s worst pass defense stroll into Austin and Shipley could still be looking at a career day.

8) Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State (12.9M, 81.35 efficiency rating)

This is quite a fall from grace from what could be the NFL prospect among collegiate quarterbacks. Nobody has been more disappointed in Freeman last two performances than me but it seems his lack of supporting cast at wide receiver (you can only get so much out of water-bug Brandon Banks) is catching up with him. It may be time to jump off the ship but I’m giving him one more week against Nebraska at home to redeem himself. (more…)

mmmm...burritoor Week 10 on the Head2Head schedule.

As you read this I am flying to Denver for a little skiing and finish the week in Boulder for the Oklahoma State battle against the Colorado Buffaloes. Huss, Daniel and Drew will provide the steady hand as we all drive to the fantasy playoffs. Let us wrap up the week’s advice in a huevos rancheros burrito.

QB – Daniel sees your Lubbock game and raises you UTEP at UL-Lafayette for the stats.

RB – Drew battles through flu to guide you to some handy handcuffs.

WR – That Seji Ajirotutu sleeper pick was helpful, I hope you got on that play.

DEF – USC is just plain ridiculous in their stinginess as our #1 unit on the BlitzIndex. Also, check out Dr. Saturday’s deconstruction of the Trojan D against Cal.

H2H – Guest writer Topher Dean brings the knowledge of his efficiency rating.

GAME OF THE WEEK

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech – nice Rivals.com video breakdown here, Matt Doyle looks inside the Pokes huddle at the Tulsa World. This battle has the added flavor of being exciting to both fantasy and reality college football fans alike. I highlighted the disturbing trend of Dez Bryant not statting against top-flight competition, but his lack of stats were made up for from other less heralded receivers like Jeremy Broadway and Damian Davis. The nagging thought on my brain is that the defenses may be more important to the end game than most would think, I like the upset 38-31 in favor of the Cowboys.

Strange BCS scenario – let’s say that Alabama loses at LSU (not likely) and Penn State sputters against the stout Iowa Hawkeyes defense (more likely)…does that let the Cowboys jump to #1? Unlikely if Texas crushes Baylor, but even given that I think Pokes are likely to get to number two.

SHAMELESS PROMOTION

We have a weekly guest spot on ESPN Radio Las Vegas on Thursdays at 5PM ET, Drew representin’ and leads the Fantasy College Football Invitational, and I rest at fourth in the Heisman Pundit Fantasy Challenge. Next week we will propose to the Obama regime to consult on his plan to bring a playoff to college football.

WR Jordan Shipley (8) of the Texas Longhorns Head2Head.com publishes a weekly “Perfect Lineup” that would have netted the most points while staying under the $100M salary cap but it doesn’t provide any analysis when it comes to consistent point makers. That’s where Topher Dean comes in.

Topher reached out to me via email a few weeks back and shared the basics of his efficiency ratio – suffice it to say that it meets our standards for publishing – plus the cat can write! Enjoy his work on the Head2Head College Salary Cap Game below.

The obvious challenge in any salary cap game is locating bargain players who solidly contribute while at the same time giving the owner the opportunity to afford the big name no-brainer producers. The formula used to calculate the efficiency rating is highly classified. What isn’t a secret is that it’s a perfect barometer for gauging the games best values, thus allowing you to splurge on high dollar players.

The top ten through week 9 of the H2H season:

10) Jordan Shipley, WR, Texas (6.9M, 78.12 efficiency rating)

Shipley (right, ICON SMI) fell short of my expectations this week as Texas’ slow start against the Red Raiders really hurt his total. It’s too bad H2H doesn’t give points for returns or Shipley would have been in the money there. Don’t get discouraged though, Shipley faces a Baylor team notorious for allowing big games to wide receivers. Thirty points should be no problem for him this week.

9) Colt McCoy, QB, Texas (17.2M, 79.80 efficiency rating)

Texas Tech showed the Longhorns their muscle outlasting them and holding Colt McCoy in check. He got it going late but it was only enough to muster 22 points, well below his average. Texas will take out their frustration at home against Baylor. McCoy will have to put up huge numbers to keep his name in the Heisman race.

8) Michael Smith, RB, Arkansas (9.0M, 80.75 efficiency rating)

Well, the start of the week only got you 16 points as the Razorbacks took down unbeaten Tulsa. It won’t get any easier for Smith this week as he’ll face a stout Gamecock defense only allowing 106.7 yards on the ground. Arkansas will need to get Smith the ball in different ways in order to beat South Carolina and more importantly get Smith his usual 26.

Read the Rest of this entry

Ohio State running back Chris WellsHead2HeadSports.com’s College Football Salary Cap Game made many changes to their salary structure this week to adjust for underperformance – lucky for you I am here to show you there are some bargains to be had.

At first I thought it was a sign of the times that there were no players getting raises, but their marketing guru Nikki reminded me that would be unfair to those of you who have locked in early values on fantasy studs like Sam Bradford and most notably Josh Freeman and do not want to spend any cash on lineup adjustments.

Harumph to those of you.

Here are the largest changes, the bargain bin. There are some stud RBs in particular that you should look at now: (more…)

Art Schlichter of Ohio StateToday’s guest blogger is birthday boy Steve Golden. Steve has followed college football since the Art Schlichter days at Ohio State and has a great take on the remainder of the schedule and the BCS. Take it away Steve…

As you take a look at the first BCS Poll of  2008, there is one thing that is for sure.  At least 10 teams have a shot at Miami January 8th, 2009.

All ten play another Top 10 team except Alabama and USC.  Bama has been vulnerable lately against Kentucky and Ole Miss and still has a tough game at LSU and a rivalry game in the Iron Bowl against Auburn.  Tommy Tuberville is 7-2 against Bama and will likely be playing to keep his job…..again.  LSU is 3-1 in conference and still has visions of a repeat and will go with the strategy they know best in big situations and 4th downs…. “Les-ticles”.

USC has by far the easiest remaining schedule and likely will not stumble.  If they do, it may be to a revengeful and rejuvenated Notre Dame team or the cross town rivalry against UCLA.  You can “bet” Rick Neuheisel will have his very average team ready for the game December 6th, the same day as many of the Conference Tournaments.

Schedule breakdown after the jump… (more…)

Dez Brynat (1) and Brandon Pettigrew celebrateWhy choose from just two options when you can choose from over 120? Here are some early returns before your ballots are due.

  1. Mike Crabtree, Texas Tech at Texas A&M (BlitzIndex D#107) – START OF THE WEEK (why did I sit him in the Head2Head league?)
  2. Jarett Dillard, Rice host Southern Mississippi (88) – multiple TDs are a lock for the all-time career record holder for WR TDs.
  3. Dez Bryant (right, Icon SMI), Oklahoma State hosts Baylor (63) – Pokes need to mind the possibiity of a let down – if they don’t, Bear QB Robert Griffin likely will remind them quickly.
  4. Jeremy Maclin, Missouri at Texas (20) – game of the week, Longhorns likely to win but they will give up passing yards and scores. (more…)